This early, polls are valuable less for the numbers than for the trends. Nothing bad for a Charlie Baker booster like me in the latest Globe poll: Patrick stagnant, below 40%, Cahill in single digits, and Charlie steadily closing the gap. As the Globe's headline puts it, "Patrick leads, but Baker surging."
Perhaps the most crucial trend for Baker is this: as voters become familiar with the first-time candidate, his support is steadily increasing. Baker is now within striking distance of Patrick, with fully 45% of the electorate telling the Globe's pollster that they are still unfamiliar with him.
Patrick, on the other hand, is below 40% - with a mere 2% of the electorate saying they don't know enough about him to give an opinion.